Bitcoin Price Falls Below $95k, But Analysts Say It’s Not Over Yet

By Aaron Feuerstein December 23, 2024 In Bitcoin, Federal Reserve
Bitcoin token on rollercoaster ride, with similar graph in the background, illustrating fluctuations in its value
Source:AdobeStock
  • Bitcoin experienced a significant surge to new highs post-Trump’s re-election, briefly approaching US$110k.
  • Recent comments by the Fed Chair and only two anticipated rate cuts contributed to a 12% drop from these highs.
  • Long-term holders have been consistently taking profits, suggesting the drop might be a temporary correction.
  • Despite this, analysts see potential for increased buying pressure, indicating the market could rebound.

Following Donald Trump’s re-election in early November, Bitcoin experienced an unprecedented surge. Earlier last week, BTC made several new all-time highs (ATH) coming close to US$110k. So, BTC’s recent 12% drop from the ATH might be just a breather.

Bitcoin (BTC), source: TradingView

Swissblock: “Bitcoin Has Lost Steam”

Following the high six days ago, the US Fed’s announcement of potentially only two rate cuts, along with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s negative comments about a Bitcoin reserve, sent the largest crypto tumbling.

Related: Pixelverse Unveils MemeBattle: New Deck Builder Game Brings Crypto Memes to Life

The question is: is this just a momentary dip or is this really Bitcoin losing its “steam”, as Swissblock analysts wrote in a recent note to investors?

Advertisement

In a positive note, they wrote that despite taking a hit, they haven’t heard a “bell”, signalling defeat.

Interestingly, profit-taking has been consistent and increased last week, though with less intensity than before, mainly due to long-term holders liquidating their positions.

This trend leaves room for potential increased buying pressure from other market participants, the analysts added.

This activity primarily stems from long-term holders (LTHs) closing portfolio positions. The door remains open for stronger buying pressure from various market participants.

Swissblock
Bitcoin net realised profit/loss, source: Swissblock

US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Take Profit After Long Streak

Guess who has also been taking some profits off the table? After 15 days without net outflows, the US Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced two days of net negative flows.

Thursday and Friday last week saw a combined US$948.9 million (AU$1.51 billion) leave the ETFs. That’s the first time since November 26 that these funds have seen net outflows.

Despite the hefty profit taking, the ETFs still hold a combined 1.139 million BTC or 5.425% of the total supply.

Related: Australian Leaders Spearhead Revolutionary Trends in Blockchain Gaming

As the chart below shows, the ETFs have had a huge volume of inflows over the past two months, similarly to February and March, following the initial approval – just without the large outflows (of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust).

Daily inflow and outflow (in USD) for US Spot Bitcoin ETFs, source: BiTBO/The Block

The largest Spot Bitcoin ETF worldwide, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), holds a whopping 2.636%, which is currently 553,464 Bitcoin. The fund is one of the fastest growing ETFs in history, managing to gather almost twice the amount of money as BlackRock’s gold-based ETF in less than a year.

Aaron Feuerstein
Author

Aaron Feuerstein

Aaron Feuerstein is a freelance writer based in Melbourne. His focus is on decentralised finance and the regulatory space surrounding blockchain. He holds a Master's in Accounting. When he is not studying the latest legal case, he enjoys his time as a modest but eager hobby cook.

You may also like