Japan Hits Pause on Interest Rate Hikes, But Increased BTC Volatility Stokes Fears of More Losses

By Aaron Feuerstein August 08, 2024 In Bitcoin, Japan, XRP
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average Index. Financial Business Economic concept.
Source:AdobeStock
  • Following the largest crash since 1987, the Nikkei has partially recovered, though early Thursday trading showed a decline.
  • XRP outperforms in a generally downbeat crypto market after a favourable SEC court ruling, while Bitcoin’s volatility spikes to a high since May.
  • The Bank of Japan’s decision to maintain current interest rates provided limited market reassurance, amidst ongoing financial volatility.

After the Monday crash in Japan – the largest since 1987 – which caused global markets including crypto to tumble, the Nikkei has somewhat recovered. Now, in a dovish signal, the Bank of Japan has pledged to keep interest rates at the current level.

Related: Breaking: Brazil Approves World First Spot Solana ETF

However, this only managed to calm markets to some extent, with the Nikkei trading lower early Thursday.

Nikkei 225, source: Google Finance

And the crypto market seems to share the sentiment, with most major assets slightly down on the 24-hour timeframe, apart from XRP. The latter gained 30% at one stage after a positive court decision in the case of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple.

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BTC Volatility Remains High

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s volatility remains high, at 52.25% it’s the highest since May. While volatility isn’t uncommon in crypto and can offer opportunities for profit, it also introduces a substantial amount of risk. This can influence the broader adoption and functionality of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Annualised BTC volatility in the past 30 days, source: theblock.co

High volatility also means the price of Bitcoin can experience large swings up or down in a short period. This can lead to substantial gains or losses for investors, affecting their investment strategy and risk management.

Analyst: Short-lived Downturn Offers Opportunities

Analyst VirtualBacon however believes the downturn will only be short-term, “lasting only the next 45 days”.

The analyst points to the VIX, the volatility index. We can track market conditions using the S&P, NASDAQ, and particularly the VIX, which historically inversely correlates with all markets. A recent peak in the VIX suggests possible volatility. However, if it doesn’t remain high this week, the current downturn could be mild, he added.

Related: SEC Takes Loss as Court Orders Ripple to Pay US$125 Million, XRP Explodes to Almost 30% for Brief Period

VirtualBacon recommends avoiding leverage and potentially dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to stack up on your preferred asset.

Source: VirtualBacon via X

There’s also a guide over here on navigating choppy markets, called 6 Essential Tips for Crypto Investors During Uncertain Times, which is a great read.

Aaron Feuerstein
Author

Aaron Feuerstein

Aaron Feuerstein is a freelance writer based in Melbourne. His focus is on decentralised finance and the regulatory space surrounding blockchain. He holds a Master's in Accounting. When he is not studying the latest legal case, he enjoys his time as a modest but eager hobby cook.

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