Amid Strong Weekend Performance Small Traders are Liquidating Positions, Santiment Says

  • Bitcoin maintained a stable price between US$66-67K over the weekend, despite ongoing sales by smaller traders.
  • The pattern of Bitcoin moving from smaller to larger wallets is seen as bullish, suggesting confidence in future price increases.
  • OTC Bitcoin balances have also stabilised since late April, reducing market supply pressure and indicating a bullish market sentiment.

Bitcoin had a good trading weekend, relatively speaking, with the price for one BTC holding in the narrow channel of US$66-67K (AU$98-100K). Santiment analysts called this “Bitcoin dancing just above $66K” adding that the price point is notable as it comes amid ongoing sales by smaller traders.

These traders are choosing to liquidate their holdings even as the market has shown some recovery over the past week. This pattern of smaller, or retail investors selling their Bitcoin positions to larger, possibly institutional holders is an interesting dynamic.

Bitcoin small wallet capitulation, source: Santiment

The analysts added that historically, the transfer of Bitcoin from smaller wallets to larger ones has been interpreted as a positive indicator for the market.

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Larger investors, typically more experienced and better equipped for market analysis, show confidence in Bitcoin’s future by continuing to accumulate it, suggesting they believe it is undervalued.

This behaviour is seen as bullish, as it implies these major players expect the crypto’s value to rise, leading them to buy more despite widespread selling. Their actions not only reflect optimism but also help stabilise the market by absorbing excess supply.

Current Market Behaviour Suggests Bullish Sentiment: Analysts

Swissblock analysts added that last week’s rally to the critical US$67K level was important because it had been both a level of support and resistance.  

The analysts believe the market’s current tendency to buy during short-term dips suggests a bullish outlook in the near term. Bitcoin is currently positioned in the middle of a key consolidation range.

BTC price momentum, source: Swissblock

Swissblock wrote that with US$73K (AU$108.9K) as the upper resistance and US$60K (AU$89.5K) as support below, a break above US$73K could lead to further gains, potentially reaching targets around US$75K (AU$111.9K).

CryptoQuant analysts added that Bitcoin balances at over-the-counter (OTC) desks have stabilised since late April, indicating a reduced influx of Bitcoin supply into the market through these entities.

Total OTC BTC balance, source : CryptoQuant

This follows a period of growth that began on 10 March, when Bitcoin prices hit an all-time high of US$73K, during which balances increased by 60,000 Bitcoin. Since late April, these balances have remained flat, suggesting a decrease in selling pressure from these desks, the analysts wrote.

The stability of Bitcoin at OTC desks is not just a minor detail – it plays a significant role in influencing the broader Bitcoin market by impacting supply dynamics, pricing, and market sentiment.

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Aaron Feuerstein

Aaron Feuerstein

Aaron Feuerstein is a freelance writer based in Melbourne. His focus is on decentralised finance and the regulatory space surrounding blockchain. He holds a Master's in Accounting. When he is not studying the latest legal case, he enjoys his time as a modest but eager hobby cook.

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